【 SUIBE思源金融讲坛——学术报告第42期 】:Financial investment or real investment: Evidence from political uncertainty in China

pubdate:2022-04-23views:416

报告人:姚澄雪

时间:202241日 下午3:00

方式:腾讯会议(会议号731 211 833

微信图片_20220328214607

 

【报告人简介】

姚澄雪—高清

姚澄雪,金融学博士,讲师,毕业于浙江大学。学术研究主要集中在公司金融与资本市场,研究成果相继发表Pacific-Basin Finance JournalApplied Economics等学术刊物。

 

【内容摘要】

We utilize a dataset containing detailed turnover data of top provincial leaders in China and the financial information of Chinese listed companies to study the different investment behaviors between companies. We find that market-dependent enterprises (MDEs) and policy-dependent enterprises (PDEs) choose different investment decisions to avoid risk in the uncertain period. The optimal decision of MDEs is to increase financial investment before the turnover, while PDEs invest in political resources before the turnover. Due to the role of political resources, after the turnover, the real investment of PDEs increases, while the real investment of MDEs does not change. Further, we explain this finding from the different sources of decision-making information between MDEs and PDEs. MDEs rely on market information to make investment decisions, while PDEs also have political resource information in addition to market information. The research results show that the decline of the MDEs stock price informativeness before the turnover promotes the financial investment of MDEs, while the rise of PDEs stock price informativeness given by political resource information after the turnover promotes the real investment of PDEs. Finally, in the robustness test, we provide evidence of the impact of political information on a firms decisions. MDEs investment-stock price sensitivity decreases significantly in the turnover period and after the turnover, while PDEs investment-stock price sensitivity increases and decreases after the turnover.

 

【主持人简介】

闫海洲,纽约国际588888线路检测中心金融管理学院副院长,经济学博士,金融学教授。研究主要聚焦于公司金融和产业金融的交叉领域。